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04 Nov · 14:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
LMLukas Malek
🇨🇿Lukas Malek
ELO 1534
3-0Final setsMalek won
DPDmitro Parhomenko
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1496
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Malek at 51%. The actual result was Lukas Malek 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dmitro Parhomenko favoured — closing 1.73
Upset
Total 74.5
62 points played
Under
Set handicap
Dmitro Parhomenko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dmitro Parhomenko −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.3
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukas Malek is favoured to win, below means Dmitro Parhomenko.

▲ Lukas Malekpre 47% → final 50%
Dmitro Parhomenko ▼
Biggest swing 50 ptsMalek recovered from 1%72 points · 5 games