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04 Nov · 18:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MHMarek Holub
🇨🇿Marek Holub
ELO 1530
2-3Final setsSimecek won
JSJakub Simecek
🇨🇿Jakub Simecek
ELO 1525
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Holub at 51%. The actual result was Jakub Simecek 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Holub favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 76.5
103 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marek Holub −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marek Holub −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Holub is favoured to win, below means Jakub Simecek.

▲ Marek Holubpre 55% → final 11%
Jakub Simecek ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsSimecek recovered from 25%72 points · 4 games