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04 Nov · 18:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DHDenis Hofman
🇨🇿Denis Hofman
ELO 1485
3-1Final setsHofman won
MVMichal Vondrak
🇨🇿Michal Vondrak
ELO 1550
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Vondrak at 51%. The actual result was Denis Hofman 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Vondrak favoured — closing 1.73
Upset
Total 76.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Vondrak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Vondrak −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Denis Hofman is favoured to win, below means Michal Vondrak.

▲ Denis Hofmanpre 45% → final 77%
Michal Vondrak ▼
Biggest swing 82 ptsHofman recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games