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DeuceLab
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04 Nov · 22:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DHDenis Hofman
🇨🇿Denis Hofman
ELO 1493
3-2Final setsHofman won
JTJan Trefny
🇨🇿Jan Trefny
ELO 1540
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Trefny at 54%. The actual result was Denis Hofman 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jan Trefny favoured — closing 1.63
Upset
Total 75.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jan Trefny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jan Trefny −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Denis Hofman is favoured to win, below means Jan Trefny.

▲ Denis Hofmanpre 42% → final 99%
Jan Trefny ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsHofman recovered from 39%72 points · 5 games