5 Nov · 12:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1419
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Svedik
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Svedik
ELO 1427
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Svedik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 48% · 2.07· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.