5 Nov · 09:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
TN
🇨🇿Tomas Nohejl
ELO 1442
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Nohejl
JS
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1419
FormLWWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.98· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.