5 Nov · 10:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1964
ELO 1440
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Nohejl
TN
🇨🇿Tomas Nohejl
ELO 1442
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.