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05 Nov · 10:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JTJan Trefny
🇨🇿Jan Trefny
ELO 1531
1-3Final setsCermak won
VCVladimir Cermak
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1533
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Trefny at 52%. The actual result was Vladimir Cermak 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cermak favoured — closing 1.53
Favourite won
Total 77.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Cermak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Cermak −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.27
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
6.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Trefny is favoured to win, below means Vladimir Cermak.

▲ Jan Trefnypre 49% → final 91%
Vladimir Cermak ▼
Biggest swing 84 ptsTrefny recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games