5 Nov · 20:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
PS
🇨🇿Petr Saleny
ELO 1546
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stolfa
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1564
FormLLWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Stolfa
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.