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05 Nov · 14:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DPDmitro Parhomenko
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1497
1-3Final setsBresky won
JBJaroslav Bresky
🇨🇿Jaroslav Bresky
ELO 1544
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Bresky at 52%. The actual result was Jaroslav Bresky 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dmitro Parhomenko favoured — closing 1.67
Upset
Total 75.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Dmitro Parhomenko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dmitro Parhomenko −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.31
Under
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dmitro Parhomenko is favoured to win, below means Jaroslav Bresky.

▲ Dmitro Parhomenkopre 44% → final 7%
Jaroslav Bresky ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts70 points · 4 games