6 Nov · 09:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
RA
🇨🇿Radim Adam
ELO 1498
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Adam
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Milota
ELO 1417
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
🌟Adam rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (119)
Fair odds · Adam
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+81
H2H6-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.