6 Nov · 10:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1259
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vrabec
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1366
FormWLLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Vrabec
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+107
H2H20-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-15)