6 Nov · 09:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
LM
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1402
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Madle
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1259
FormLLWWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Madle
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+143
H2H41-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+143)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-39)