6 Nov · 09:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1690
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cernik
JC
🇨🇿Jan Cernik
ELO 1763
FormLLLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Cernik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H26-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.