6 Nov · 14:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1964
ELO 1429
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.891964
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sudek
ELO 1368
FormWLLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · 1964
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H14-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.