6 Nov · 13:00 MEZLow · Coin Flip
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1964
ELO 1429
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.961964
PK
🇨🇿Pavel Kulhanek
ELO 1407
FormWWLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kulhanek
Fair odds · 1964
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H32-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.