6 Nov · 12:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Kycelt
ELO 1714
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kycelt
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1690
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kycelt
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H18-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.