6 Nov · 14:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JF
🇨🇿Jiri Foltynek
ELO 1387
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Foltynek
IP
🇨🇿Ivo Palmi
ELO 1334
FormLLWLW
53%
47%
🌟Foltynek stays under total as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Foltynek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H14-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.