6 Nov · 10:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Kycelt
ELO 1714
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cernik
JC
🇨🇿Jan Cernik
ELO 1763
FormLLLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Cernik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.