6 Nov · 10:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jindrich Vrba
ELO 1356
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vrba
DT
🇨🇿David Tomasch
ELO 1286
FormLLLWL
54%
46%
🌟Tomasch stays under total as underdog 63% (35)
Fair odds · Vrba
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+70
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.