6 Nov · 08:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DT
🇨🇿David Tomasch
ELO 1286
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Tomasch
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1257
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Tomasch rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (25)
Fair odds · Tomasch
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.