6 Nov · 09:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1257
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vrba
JV
🇨🇿Jindrich Vrba
ELO 1356
FormLWWLW
45%
55%
🌟1961 stays under total as underdog 65% (129)
Fair odds · Vrba
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~71 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+99
H2H26-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-10)