6 Nov · 17:00 MEZLow · Coin Flip
ZK
🇨🇿Zdenek Kasinski
ELO 1382
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vaclavik
MV
🇨🇿Miroslav Vaclavik
ELO 1384
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
🌟Kasinski stays under total as underdog 71% (31)
Fair odds · Vaclavik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.