6 Nov · 12:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jan Cernik
ELO 1763
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cernik
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Vales
ELO 1713
FormWWWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Cernik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H8-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.