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05 Nov · 18:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JSJan Szotkowski
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1752
3-0Final setsSzotkowski won
RNRostislav Niezgoda
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1778
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Niezgoda at 55%. The actual result was Jan Szotkowski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rostislav Niezgoda favoured — closing 1.61
Upset
Total 76.5
62 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rostislav Niezgoda −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rostislav Niezgoda −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 3.2
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Szotkowski is favoured to win, below means Rostislav Niezgoda.

▲ Jan Szotkowskipre 48% → final 26%
Rostislav Niezgoda ▼
Biggest swing 41 ptsNiezgoda recovered from 34%72 points · 4 games