7 Nov · 13:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AB
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1564
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bayer
JZ
🇨🇿Jiri Zuzanek
ELO 1507
FormWLWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Bayer
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H11-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.