7 Nov · 12:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇨🇿Martin Biolek
ELO 1757
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Biolek
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1643
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 66% (634)
Fair odds · Biolek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+114
H2H56-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-34)