7 Nov · 08:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Prosa
ELO 1638
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pusch
FP
🇨🇿Frantisek Pusch
ELO 1679
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
🌟Pusch rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (49)
Fair odds · Pusch
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.