7 Nov · 08:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1673
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Paril
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cabis
ELO 1667
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cabis🌟Cabis covers set handicap as underdog 65% (160)
Fair odds · Paril
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H21-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.