7 Nov · 08:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1752
FormWWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Szotkowski
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1643
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 66% (634)
Fair odds · Szotkowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+109
H2H132-111
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (132-111)