7 Nov · 12:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1695
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jr
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1761
FormLWLWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Huk🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (221)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H62-40
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.