7 Nov · 12:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
LB
🇨🇿Lukas Boruvka
ELO 1976
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Boruvka
JM
🇨🇿Josef Medek
ELO 1868
FormLWWWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Boruvka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+108
H2H56-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-25)