7 Nov · 10:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
RH
🇨🇿Roman Hudeczek
ELO 1604
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hudeczek
MC
🇨🇿Michal Chalupa
ELO 1551
FormWWLLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chalupa
Fair odds · Hudeczek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H34-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.