7 Nov · 09:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1761
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jr
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Prosa
ELO 1638
FormLLWLW
56%
44%
🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (221)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+123
H2H18-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-17)