7 Nov · 13:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MC
🇨🇿Michal Chalupa
ELO 1551
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Burdik
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Burdik
ELO 1596
FormLWWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chalupa
Fair odds · Burdik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H9-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.