7 Nov · 09:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jaroslav Kasan
ELO 1410
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Roeckel
SR
🇨🇿Sascha Roeckel
ELO 1500
45%
55%
Fair odds · Roeckel
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+90
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)