7 Nov · 10:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1761
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jr
FP
🇨🇿Frantisek Pusch
ELO 1679
FormWLWWW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pusch🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (221)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+82
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.