7 Nov · 09:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
RH
🇨🇿Roman Hudeczek
ELO 1604
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hudeczek
DS
🇨🇿David Szotek
ELO 1564
FormWWWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Hudeczek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H15-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.