06 Nov · 14:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1696
3-2Final setsMares won
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Kycelt
ELO 1728
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Kycelt at 52%. The actual result was Erik Mares 3-2 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jakub Kycelt favoured — closing 1.81
Total 76.5
99 points played
Set handicap
Jakub Kycelt −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jakub Kycelt −0.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.3
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Erik Mares is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kycelt.
▲ Erik Marespre 44% → final 0%
Jakub Kycelt ▼
Biggest swing 54 pts58 points · 3 games