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06 Nov · 22:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ZPZbynek Pagac
🇨🇿Zbynek Pagac
ELO 1502
0-3Final setsSimecek won
JSJakub Simecek
🇨🇿Jakub Simecek
ELO 1555
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Simecek at 52%. The actual result was Jakub Simecek 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Simecek favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 76.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Simecek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jakub Simecek −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 3.2
Under
Exact score
market priced 0-3 at close
6.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Zbynek Pagac is favoured to win, below means Jakub Simecek.

▲ Zbynek Pagacpre 51% → final 1%
Jakub Simecek ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsSimecek recovered from 36%65 points · 4 games