8 Nov · 08:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1507
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Heczko
DH
🇨🇿David Heczko
ELO 1532
FormLLLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Heczko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H28-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.