8 Nov · 08:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1284
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Stach
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Stach
ELO 1320
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Stach
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H8-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.