8 Nov · 08:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1785
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jr
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Prosa
ELO 1637
FormLLWWW
58%
42%
🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (226)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+148
H2H21-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+148)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-17)