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07 Nov · 14:06 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJosef Medek
🇨🇿Josef Medek
ELO 1853
1-3Final setsMares won
EMErik Mares
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1692
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Medek at 59%. The actual result was Erik Mares 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Josef Medek favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 76.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Josef Medek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Josef Medek −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
3.94
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Josef Medek is favoured to win, below means Erik Mares.

▲ Josef Medekpre 63% → final 100%
Erik Mares ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsMedek recovered from 36%72 points · 4 games