8 Nov · 08:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DB
🇨🇿David Barton
ELO 1478
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Barton
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1370
FormLWLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Barton
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+108
H2H14-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-6)