8 Nov · 10:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇨🇿Richard Skacelik
ELO 1596
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skacelik
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1507
FormLWWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Skacelik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+89
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)