8 Nov · 08:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇨🇿Martin Tacinec
ELO 1524
FormLLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Tacinec
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pleskot
ELO 1372
FormLLLWL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pleskot🌟Tacinec rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (49)
Fair odds · Tacinec
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+152
H2H24-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-13)