8 Nov · 09:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DC
🇨🇿Daniel Cupec
ELO 1330
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Cupec
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1284
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Cupec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H4-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.