8 Nov · 10:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Prosa
ELO 1637
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pusch
FP
🇨🇿Frantisek Pusch
ELO 1658
FormLLLWW
49%
51%
🌟Pusch rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (49)
Fair odds · Pusch
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.