8 Nov · 10:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1464
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Guliak
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1432
FormLLWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Guliak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H14-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.